Big 12 Tier List, Power 4 Disaster Scenarios & Notre Dame Pressure
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In Episode 19 of The Breakdown Bros, we break down the 2026 Big 12 using full Vegas data, sorting teams into tiers from playoff hopefuls like Texas Tech and BYU to the teams fighting just to stay relevant. We look at win totals, conference title odds, playoff odds, and where the Big 12 stands nationally heading into the season.
Then we get into disaster scenarios across college football. What if the Big Ten’s big three dominate all year and then all get exposed in the playoff? What if the SEC’s new 9-game conference schedule creates complete cannibalism? What if the Big 12 becomes a weak one-bid league? What if Miami collapses and drags down the ACC’s credibility? And what does Notre Dame have to do this year to avoid another “overrated” narrative?
We also talk about the Group of 6 playoff problem and whether expansion could actually make the gap between the rich conferences and everyone else even worse.
Topics include:
Big 12 Vegas tier list
Texas Tech and BYU playoff expectations
SEC 9-game schedule chaos
Big Ten playoff pressure
Miami and the ACC trap door
Notre Dame’s margin for error