『Complex Systems with Patrick McKenzie (patio11)』のカバーアート

Complex Systems with Patrick McKenzie (patio11)

Complex Systems with Patrick McKenzie (patio11)

著者: Patrick McKenzie
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今ならプレミアムプランが3カ月 月額99円

2026年5月12日まで。4か月目以降は月額1,500円で自動更新します。

概要

We live in a world where our civilization and daily lives depend upon institutions, infrastructure, and technological substrates that are _complicated_ but not _unknowable_. Join Patrick McKenzie (patio11) as he discusses how decisions, technology, culture, and incentives shape our finance, technology, government, and more, with the people who built (and build) those Complex Systems.© Kalzumeus Software, LLC 個人ファイナンス 経済学
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  • Your bank balance isn’t in the bank, and other alchemy
    2026/04/09

    Patrick McKenzie (patio11) reads his classic Bits About Money essay on why your bank deposit is not what you think it is. He explains the capital stack that makes deposits appear riskless while funding genuinely risky businesses, and why the "no questions asked" property of money took the United States roughly a hundred years to engineer.


    Patrick updates the essay with commentary on SVB's collapse, the Voyager collapse and emergency injunctions about the finer points of ACH plumbing, and the GENIUS Act's stablecoin interest ban. He argues that crypto keeps rediscovering the same hard truth: things that behave like deposits without being deposits eventually break. When they break, they will break other structures they have wormed into, and they will tend to have wormed into a lot, because deposits are extremely useful and are perceived to never break.


    Full transcript available here: www.complexsystemspodcast.com/your-bank-balance-isnt-in-the-bank/

    Presenting Sponsors: Mercury, Meter, & Granola

    Complex Systems is presented by Mercury—radically better banking for founders. Mercury offers the best wire experience anywhere: fast, reliable, and free for domestic U.S. wires, so you can stay focused on growing your business. Apply online in minutes at mercury.com.

    Networking infrastructure has a way of accumulating technical debt faster than almost anything else in IT. Meter handles the full stack (wired, wireless, and cellular) as a single integrated solution: designed, deployed, and managed end-to-end so there's only one vendor to call when something goes wrong. Visit meter.com/complexsystems to book a demo.

    If meetings consistently leave you with hazy action items and lost context, Granola handles the transcription so you can actually participate and gives you searchable notes afterward. Try it free at granola.ai/complexsystems with code COMPLEXSYSTEMS

    Links:

    • The alchemy of deposits: https://www.bitsaboutmoney.com/archive/the-alchemy-of-deposits/
    • Deposit Insurance: https://www.bitsaboutmoney.com/archive/deposit-insurance/
    • Gift Cards: https://www.bitsaboutmoney.com/archive/gift-card-accountability-sink/
    • Debanking (and Debunking?) https://www.bitsaboutmoney.com/archive/debanking-and-debunking/

    Timestamps:

    (00:00) Intro
    (00:20) Why revisit this essay now
    (02:03) Deposits are money
    (06:53) Heavily engineered structured products pretending to be simple
    (09:11) Credit card charge-offs as an underappreciated welfare program
    (10:16) Deposits as pink slime
    (13:08) Silicon Valley Bank and information sensitivity in the real world
    (19:06) Many things are quasi-deposits
    (20:00) Sponsors: Mercury | Meter
    (23:13) Many things are quasi-deposits (cont’d)
    (25:10) Voyager bankruptcy
    (32:29) How the FDIC resolves bank failures over weekends
    (34:49) Making the magic happen
    (35:13) The GENIUS Act and the stablecoin interest debate
    (40:31) Sponsor: Granola
    (47:45) Wrap


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    48 分
  • Payroll, pins, and punch cards
    2026/04/02

    In this episode of Complex Systems, Patrick McKenzie riffs on why public sector payroll modernization is even more likely to fail than the typical public software procurement project. He then goes into a wider discussion about payroll providers and their role as software, payment rails, and a sink for an enduring controversy in political economy. We want robust state capacity and hate income taxes. He breaks down the history of tax withholding as a state-deputized collection mechanism and explains how providers like ADP manage a lucrative "conveyor belt" of money to earn interest on the "float". Finally, he discusses how fintech innovations like Earned Wage Access (EWA) are providing a pro-social, daily-pay alternative to predatory payday loans.


    Full transcript available here: https://www.complexsystemspodcast.com/public-payroll/


    Presenting Sponsors: Mercury, Meter, & Granola

    Complex Systems is presented by Mercury—radically better banking for founders. Mercury offers the best wire experience anywhere: fast, reliable, and free for domestic U.S. wires, so you can stay focused on growing your business. Apply online in minutes at mercury.com.

    Networking infrastructure has a way of accumulating technical debt faster than almost anything else in IT. Meter handles the full stack (wired, wireless, and cellular) as a single integrated solution: designed, deployed, and managed end-to-end so there's only one vendor to call when something goes wrong. Visit meter.com/complexsystems to book a demo.


    If meetings consistently leave you with hazy action items and lost context, Granola handles the transcription so you can actually participate and gives you searchable notes afterward. Try it free at granola.ai/complexsystems with code COMPLEXSYSTEMS


    Links:

    • Mikey Dickerson episode: https://www.complexsystemspodcast.com/episodes/fixing-government-technology-with-mikey-dickerson/


    Timestamps:

    (00:00) Intro
    (01:10) Why government payroll projects keep failing
    (02:08) The root cause: rules nobody can write down
    (05:22) Fraud in plain sight: pension spiking
    (10:18) The Information theory problem
    (11:57) Essay: “Payroll Providers, Power, Respect”
    (13:54) Why does payroll exist, anyway?
    (16:13) Enter tax withholding
    (18:20) An aside about tax preparation software
    (20:05) Sponsors: Mercury | Meter
    (22:54) An aside about tax preparation software (cont’d)
    (25:00) Withholding taxes were an operational disaster in early implementations
    (27:08) So what happens in payroll, anyway?
    (29:50) “Where is the risk transfer?”
    (33:43) What about those other payments?
    (39:01) Where is the frontier in payroll?
    (39:25) Sponsor: Granola
    (41:15) Where is the frontier in payroll? (cont’d)
    (45:59) Rideshare apps vs. payday loans: Byrne Hobart's insight
    (46:05) FinTech's net impact
    (47:12) Wrap

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    48 分
  • Delve into compliance theatre
    2026/03/26

    Patrick McKenzie (patio11) explains how compliance regimes designed to be viral brought many more firms into the scope of frameworks like SOC 2. This created a market demand for compliance-on-the-cheap by companies like Delve. Delve has been accused in an anonymous bit of investigative journalism as engaging in Potemkin compliance.

    Patrick contrasts what real audits look like with what Delve allegedly delivered. He argues that selling compliance theater as compliance is fraud, not the sort of benign rule-breaking celebrated in startup culture.


    Full transcript available here: https://www.complexsystemspodcast.com/delve-into-compliance-theatre/


    Presenting Sponsors: Mercury, Meter, Granola & Framer

    Complex Systems is presented by Mercury—radically better banking for founders. Mercury offers the best wire experience anywhere: fast, reliable, and free for domestic U.S. wires, so you can stay focused on growing your business. Apply online in minutes at mercury.com.

    Networking infrastructure has a way of accumulating technical debt faster than almost anything else in IT. Meter handles the full stack (wired, wireless, and cellular) as a single integrated solution: designed, deployed, and managed end-to-end so there's only one vendor to call when something goes wrong. Visit meter.com/complexsystems to book a demo.

    If meetings consistently leave you with hazy action items and lost context, Granola handles the transcription so you can actually participate and gives you searchable notes afterward. Try it free at granola.ai/complexsystems with code COMPLEXSYSTEMS

    Building and maintaining marketing websites shouldn’t slow down your engineers. Framer gives design and marketing teams an all-in-one platform to ship landing pages, microsites, or full site redesigns instantly—without engineering bottlenecks. Get 30% off Framer Pro at framer.com/complexsystems.


    Links:
    Fake Compliance as a Service - Part 1: https://substack.com/home/post/p-191342187
    Editorial independence episode: https://www.complexsystemspodcast.com/episodes/editorial-standards-and-independence/
    Dan Davies episode: https://www.complexsystemspodcast.com/episodes/dan-davies-organizations-fraud/


    Timestamps:
    (00:00) Intro
    (02:14) The taxonomy of compliance
    (04:11) Why compliance is viral
    (09:08) Defense in depth
    (14:19) Accountability and liability
    (16:05) The allegations against Delve
    (19:53) Sponsors: Mercury | Meter
    (22:41) The allegations against Delve (cont'd)
    (24:31) The response and evidence
    (29:38) Implausible patterns
    (38:22) Heuristics for truth
    (40:10) Sponsors: Granola | Framer
    (42:52) Heuristics for truth (cont'd)
    (44:28) Naughtiness vs. fraud
    (51:16) A voice in the startup community
    (53:05) Advice for the exposed
    (56:38) Wrap

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    58 分
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