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  • Is The Fed Panic Already Fading? | Weekly Roundup

    Is The Fed Panic Already Fading? | Weekly Roundup
    2026/06/26
    The Fed scare that dominated markets may already be losing momentum. Now investors are asking what comes next as the AI trade, inflation picture, and market leadership evolve. This week, we break down why the Fed may be nearing the end of its hiking cycle, how AI investment is reshaping markets, and where capital is rotating next. We also discuss peak inflation, hyperscaler capex, market dispersion, active management, and why new leaders could replace the old winners. Enjoy! TIMESTAMPS: 00:00 Intro 01:16 FIFA World Cup 04:24 Peak Hawkishness Fading 09:53 Oil, Gasoline, And Disinflation 12:28 Why Inflation Stays Sticky 14:22 Monetary Policy vs AI CapEx 19:43 Warsh: Balance Sheet & Rates 25:22 Hyperscalers Hit The CapEx Wall 29:38 Passive Investing Cracking? 33:37 Market Leadership Rotating 42:07 The Productive Capital Cycle? 44:24 MicroStrategy Hits Reality 50:09 Bitcoin, AI, And Power 55:26 Do Things IRL FOLLOW THE SHOW › Forward Guidance – https://x.com/ForwardGuidance › Felix – https://x.com/fejau_inc › Quinn – https://x.com/qthomp › Tyler – https://x.com/Tyler_Neville › Telegram – https://t.me/+CAoZQpC-i6BjYTEx › Blockworks – https://x.com/Blockworks RESOURCES › Weekly Roundup Charts – https://drive.google.com/file/d/1cLd9ck8EM77hJz9ZlnB_5VKd8ai1Sb2d/view?usp=sharing EVENTS › Join us at Digital Asset Summit 2026 Asia October 7th & Digital Asset 2026 London November 10-11th https://blockworks.com/events Blockworks recently acquired Messari. For more information, please visit: https://blockworks.com/insights/blockworks-acquires-messari DISCLAIMER Nothing said on Forward Guidance is a recommendation to buy or sell securities or tokens. This podcast is for informational purposes only. Any views expressed are opinions, not financial advice. Hosts and guests may hold positions in the companies, funds, or projects discussed.
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    1 時間
  • A New Era Is Beginning In Markets | Weekly Roundup

    A New Era Is Beginning In Markets | Weekly Roundup
    2026/06/19
    A new era at the Federal Reserve may be reshaping how markets think about rates, volatility, and the role of central banks. But is the market interpreting Kevin Warsh's first moves correctly? This week, we break down Warsh's first FOMC meeting, the end of traditional forward guidance, and why they believe peak hawkishness may already be behind us despite the Fed's messaging. We also discuss the AI capex boom, the future of Bitcoin and MicroStrategy, tightening liquidity, housing affordability, and whether markets are entering a fundamentally different regime. Enjoy! TIMESTAMPS: 00:00 Intro 01:13 Forward Guidance Is Dead 08:28 Rate Volatility Returns 13:08 Why Hikes Won’t Happen 18:33 Liquidity Gets Tight 26:15 The AI Buildout Meets The Fed 35:55 The Summer Market Setup 42:39 MicroStrategy's Market Test 46:18 Bitcoin’s AI Opportunity Cost 53:29 Crypto Needs To Adapt 01:00:46 Gold Sentiment Hits Extremes FOLLOW THE SHOW › Forward Guidance – https://x.com/ForwardGuidance › Felix – https://x.com/fejau_inc › Quinn – https://x.com/qthomp › Tyler – https://x.com/Tyler_Neville › Telegram – https://t.me/+CAoZQpC-i6BjYTEx › Blockworks – https://x.com/Blockworks RESOURCES › Weekly Roundup Charts – https://drive.google.com/file/d/1yGHU0SgEjUNE1cDKP280F60FsRrcBqOh/view?usp=sharing EVENTS › Join us at Digital Asset Summit 2026 Asia October 7th & Digital Asset 2026 London November 10-11th https://blockworks.com/events Blockworks recently acquired Messari. For more information, please visit: https://blockworks.com/insights/blockworks-acquires-messari DISCLAIMER Nothing said on Forward Guidance is a recommendation to buy or sell securities or tokens. This podcast is for informational purposes only. Any views expressed are opinions, not financial advice. Hosts and guests may hold positions in the companies, funds, or projects discussed.
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    1 時間 4 分
  • The Warsh Fed Will Look Nothing Like Before | Joseph Wang

    The Warsh Fed Will Look Nothing Like Before | Joseph Wang
    2026/06/17
    A new Fed chair has arrived, and the implications could be far bigger than a single rate decision. Joseph Wang, former Fed trader and creator of Fed Guy, joins Forward Guidance immediately after Kevin Warsh’s first FOMC meeting to unpack what may be the beginning of a fundamental transformation of the Federal Reserve. We discuss Warsh’s hawkish debut, the end of the forward guidance era, sweeping Fed task forces, potential changes to the inflation framework, AI and productivity, and why all of this could point to a meaningful repricing of risk assets. Enjoy! TIMESTAMPS: 00:00 Intro 02:22 Warsh Kills Forward Guidance 05:57 Markets Price The Warsh Fed 11:19 The New Fed Task Forces 17:10 Impact On Rate Volatility 19:12 Warsh’s Balance Sheet Fight 23:13 Rethinking Fed Data 27:46 Weighing AI Productivity 31:52 Rethinking Inflation Target 36:17 Warsh’s Hawkish Market Signal FOLLOW JOSEPH › X/Twitter – https://x.com/josephwang › Website – https://fedguy.com/ › YouTube – https://www.youtube.com/@Fedguy12 FOLLOW THE SHOW › Forward Guidance – https://x.com/ForwardGuidance › Felix – https://x.com/fejau_inc › Telegram – https://t.me/+CAoZQpC-i6BjYTEx › Blockworks – https://x.com/Blockworks EVENTS › Join us at Digital Asset Summit 2026 Asia October 7th & Digital Asset 2026 London November 10-11th https://blockworks.com/events Blockworks recently acquired Messari. For more information, please visit: https://blockworks.com/insights/blockworks-acquires-messari DISCLAIMER Nothing said on Forward Guidance is a recommendation to buy or sell securities or tokens. This podcast is for informational purposes only. Any views expressed are opinions, not financial advice. Hosts and guests may hold positions in the companies, funds, or projects discussed.
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    40 分
  • Blockworks Acquires Messari

    Blockworks Acquires Messari
    2026/06/12
    In this special episode, Blockworks announces its acquisition of Messari and unpacks what it means for crypto’s next phase. Michael and Jason explore why Messari’s breadth of data, APIs, and research complement Blockworks’ deep on-chain analytics, investor relations, and disclosure products. They also address crypto’s trust problem, the need for standardized data and disclosures, and how Blockworks aims to become the trusted data layer connecting issuers, investors, exchanges, regulators, and AI agents in on-chain markets. Learn more: https://blockworks.com/insights/blockworks-acquires-messari Follow Blockworks on X: https://x.com/Blockworks Follow Messari on X: https://x.com/MessariCrypto Follow Michael on X: https://x.com/MikeIppolito_ Follow Jason on X: https://x.com/JasonYanowitz
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    29 分
  • Policy Intervention Is Keeping The Bull Market Alive | Weekly Roundup

    Policy Intervention Is Keeping The Bull Market Alive | Weekly Roundup
    2026/06/12
    Markets increasingly seem to respond more to intervention than fundamentals, raising a bigger question about what actually drives asset prices today. This week, we discuss how policy intervention, systematic flows, and AI-driven capital allocation are reshaping market behavior and investor positioning. We also explore volatility squeezes, Fed rate expectations, gold and oil, AI infrastructure spending, hyperscaler equity issuance, Bitcoin miners pivoting to AI, and the growing tension between technological progress and market centralization. Enjoy! TIMESTAMPS: 00:00 Intro 05:11 Trump’s Market Playbook 08:11 The Fed Pricing Trap 12:12 Volatility Positioning Unwinds 17:22 Markets Are Centrally Managed 21:48 Mag Loses Leadership 28:54 The AI Capex Risk 30:17 The Best Rates Trade 34:20 Policy Powers The AI War 38:20 Will AI Politics Hit Markets? 43:52 The AI Access Divide 50:34 The Centralization Trade FOLLOW THE SHOW › Forward Guidance – https://x.com/ForwardGuidance › Felix – https://x.com/fejau_inc › Quinn – https://x.com/qthomp › Tyler – https://x.com/Tyler_Neville › Telegram – https://t.me/+CAoZQpC-i6BjYTEx › Blockworks – https://x.com/Blockworks RESOURCES › Weekly Roundup Charts – https://drive.google.com/file/d/1I_E0fiARx9ikBBddWaGJegaAAfa00ODn/view?usp=sharing EVENTS › Join us at Digital Asset Summit 2026 Asia October 7th & Digital Asset 2026 London November 10-11th https://blockworks.com/events DISCLAIMER Nothing said on Forward Guidance is a recommendation to buy or sell securities or tokens. This podcast is for informational purposes only. Any views expressed are opinions, not financial advice. Hosts and guests may hold positions in the companies, funds, or projects discussed.
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    57 分
  • Warsh Must Choose The Dollar Or The Bond Market | Luke Gromen

    Warsh Must Choose The Dollar Or The Bond Market | Luke Gromen
    2026/06/11
    A seemingly simple Fed transition is becoming a massive stress test of the entire financial system as rising debt, inflation, and global energy crisis collide. Luke Gromen of Forest For The Trees joins to discuss Kevin Warsh’s looming challenge and why the Fed may soon face choices it can no longer avoid. We explore the dollar versus bond market tradeoff, the impact of the Iran conflict and oil prices, China’s growing leverage, financial warfare, swap lines, and what it all means for stocks, gold, Bitcoin, and global markets. Enjoy! TIMESTAMPS: 00:00 Intro 01:50 Warsh’s First Fed Test 04:54 Rethinking The Fed’s Role 11:35 Can Warsh Control The Committee? 14:07 Why The Dollar Looks Weak 17:19 Warsh’s Impossible Policy Mix 23:30 What's The Policy Plan? 27:31 China’s Strategic Waiting Game 34:16 Financial Warfare Going Global 40:22 Swap Lines And Petrogold 47:11 Risk Assets Face Repricing FOLLOW LUKE › X/Twitter – https://x.com/LukeGromen › FFTT – https://fftt-llc.com/ FOLLOW THE SHOW › Forward Guidance – https://x.com/ForwardGuidance › Felix – https://x.com/fejau_inc › Telegram – https://t.me/+CAoZQpC-i6BjYTEx › Blockworks – https://x.com/Blockworks EVENTS › Join us at Digital Asset Summit 2026 Asia October 7th & Digital Asset 2026 London November 10-11th https://blockworks.com/events DISCLAIMER Nothing said on Forward Guidance is a recommendation to buy or sell securities or tokens. This podcast is for informational purposes only. Any views expressed are opinions, not financial advice. Hosts and guests may hold positions in the companies, funds, or projects discussed.
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    52 分
  • Why This Economy Refuses To Break | David Cervantes

    Why This Economy Refuses To Break | David Cervantes
    2026/06/03
    While investors wait for a recession that never comes, AI spending and fiscal stimulus keep pouring fuel on the expansion. David Cervantes of Pinebrook Capital joins to explain how AI spending is reshaping the economy, profits, and traditional market dynamics. We also discuss productivity gains, consumer resilience, inflation risks, Fed policy, bond market reactions, energy markets, and David’s favorite international trade. Enjoy! TIMESTAMPS: 00:00 Intro 01:59 AI Buildout Is Driving Macro 06:01 Profit Margins And Productivity 09:58 Supply Chains Shift To Resilience 13:13 Consumer Resilience Mystery 19:19 What Funds The Consumer? 22:44 Why The Recession Never Comes 25:55 The Fed Rethinking Hikes 32:19 Warsh Inheriting Inflation Fight 38:07 Bonds, Equities And Rates 41:17 Can Stocks Ignore Rates? 44:21 The Korea Trade FOLLOW DAVID › X/Twitter – https://x.com/EconstratPB FOLLOW THE SHOW › Forward Guidance – https://x.com/ForwardGuidance › Felix – https://x.com/fejau_inc › Telegram – https://t.me/+CAoZQpC-i6BjYTEx › Blockworks – https://x.com/Blockworks DISCLAIMER Nothing said on Forward Guidance is a recommendation to buy or sell securities or tokens. This podcast is for informational purposes only. Any views expressed are opinions, not financial advice. Hosts and guests may hold positions in the companies, funds, or projects discussed.
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    47 分
  • How To Trade The AI Productivity Boom | Weekly Roundup

    How To Trade The AI Productivity Boom | Weekly Roundup
    2026/05/29
    This week, we're back to discuss whether the economy is entering an AI driven productivity boom and what that means for markets. We deep dive into whether the Fed should actually be hiking rates, growing signs of consumer weakness, how we're thinking about positioning in this environment and more. Enjoy! -- Timestamps: (00:00) Introduction (01:22) Should The Fed Be Hiking Rates? (07:53) The AI Productivity Boom (14:28) An Update On Market Structure (18:28) The Consumer Is Struggling (36:21) How To Trade This Market -- FOLLOW THE SHOW › Forward Guidance – https://x.com/ForwardGuidance › Felix – https://x.com/fejau_inc › Quinn – https://x.com/qthomp › Tyler – https://x.com/Tyler_Neville › Telegram – https://t.me/+CAoZQpC-i6BjYTEx › Blockworks – https://x.com/Blockworks -- Nothing said on Forward Guidance is a recommendation to buy or sell securities or tokens. This podcast is for informational purposes only. Any views expressed are opinions, not financial advice. Hosts and guests may hold positions in the companies, funds, or projects discussed.
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    50 分