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  • Michael Episcope’s Investing Playbook: Cycles, Credit, and Multifamily

    Michael Episcope’s Investing Playbook: Cycles, Credit, and Multifamily
    2026/04/07
    This Episode Michael returns to the show after a standout LP Deal Review Q&A, and Chris digs into the full backstory: how Michael went from the Chicago Mercantile Exchange—trading interest rate derivatives bell-to-bell—to building Origin Investments into a multifamily-focused platform built around downside protection and long-term compounding. They unpack how Michael thinks about “edge” as markets became more efficient, why risk management lives at both the deal level and the company level, and what LPs should pay attention to when evaluating a manager’s balance sheet and decision-making under pressure. The conversation also gets tactical on portfolio construction in today’s environment—why Michael believes credit is being “overcompensated” relative to equity, how Origin evolved from value-add to a build/buy/lend approach, and how cycle awareness influences where (and how) he’s willing to deploy capital. Chris also asks how current macro uncertainty impacts underwriting and positioning right now, and Michael closes with a set of simple, but hard-earned, LP principles: build a written plan, stay disciplined, keep liquidity, and remember that small performance deltas compound into life-changing outcomes over time. Key Takeaways Michael’s path from commodities/derivatives trading to launching Origin and why 2007-2009 was a formative real estate “training ground” How to think about “edge” in modern real estate when information is ubiquitous and why small advantages still matter Risk management at two levels: deal structure (leverage, markets, people) and firm structure (bench strength, balance sheet support) Why Michael would overweight credit today and keep equity exposure selective and how that creates flexibility to rebalance LP discipline lessons: write your strategy down, don’t fear saying “no,” protect liquidity, and let compounding do the heavy lifting Disclaimer The content of this podcast is for informational purposes only. All host and participant opinions are their own. Investment in any asset, real estate included, involves risk, so use your best judgment and consult with qualified advisors before investing. You should only risk capital you can afford to lose. Past performance is not indicative of future results. This podcast may contain paid advertisements or other promotional materials for real estate investment advisers, investment funds, and investment opportunities, which should not be interpreted as a recommendation, endorsement, or testimonial by PassivePockets, LLC or any of its affiliates. Viewers must conduct their own due diligence and consider their own financial situations before engaging with any advertised offerings, products, or services. PassivePockets, LLC disclaims all liability for direct, indirect, consequential, or other damages arising out of reliance on information and advertisements presented in this podcast.
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    38 分
  • Multifamily 2026 Pulse Check: Supply, Distress, and Where We’re Investing

    Multifamily 2026 Pulse Check: Supply, Distress, and Where We’re Investing
    2026/03/31
    Chris Lopez is back with Paul Shannon for this month’s PassivePockets Pulse Check, catching up on why Paul stepped back from co-hosting, what he’s focused on now, and what both of them are actually doing with their own portfolios. They get into the real-life tradeoffs that don’t show up in an OM: liquidity vs. deployment, concentration risk vs. investing where you have an edge, and why relationships with operators matter more than ever coming out of the last cycle. From there, Paul drops a data-heavy market update across multifamily and beyond- where supply is still pressuring rents, which markets are already seeing rent growth again, and how the maturity wall is forcing distressed (and motivated) sellers into the market. Chris shares what he’s seeing in Denver and the Midwest, why he’s leaning toward cash flow and debt for diversification, and how both of them are thinking about positioning for the next 12–24 months without trying to “time” real estate. They wrap with a quick preview of the 2026 PassivePockets Summit in Denver (April 30–May 2), why the event is built for LPs, and what they’re most excited for- from the small, high-quality attendee base to hands-on learning opportunities like the hotel-to-multifamily conversion property tour. Key Takeaways Why Paul stepped back from co-hosting and what he’s prioritizing in business and family life right now Liquidity as a strategy: when “good deals” still aren’t the right move because cash matters Multifamily’s bifurcated market: rent growth winners vs. laggards, and why national headlines can mislead The maturity wall and distress: what refinances look like in a 6–7% rate world and what LPs should ask sponsors Summit preview: LP-focused networking, sponsor access, and the Denver hotel-to-multifamily conversion tour Disclaimer The content of this podcast is for informational purposes only. All host and participant opinions are their own. Investment in any asset, real estate included, involves risk, so use your best judgment and consult with qualified advisors before investing. You should only risk capital you can afford to lose. Past performance is not indicative of future results. This podcast may contain paid advertisements or other promotional materials for real estate investment advisers, investment funds, and investment opportunities, which should not be interpreted as a recommendation, endorsement, or testimonial by PassivePockets, LLC or any of its affiliates. Viewers must conduct their own due diligence and consider their own financial situations before engaging with any advertised offerings, products, or services. PassivePockets, LLC disclaims all liability for direct, indirect, consequential, or other damages arising out of reliance on information and advertisements presented in this podcast.
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    55 分
  • Hotel-to-Multifamily Conversions 101 with Alex Cartwright

    Hotel-to-Multifamily Conversions 101 with Alex Cartwright
    2026/03/24
    Hotel-to-multifamily conversions are one of the most interesting “free market” solutions to the affordable housing crunch, and Alex Cartwright is building his entire business around that niche. In this episode, Chris sits down with Alex to break down how (and when) these conversions actually pencil and why the opportunity exists in the gap between hotel cap rates and multifamily cap rates. They also talk about a real-time example: Alex has a conversion project happening about 15 minutes from the hotel where the 2026 PassivePockets Summit will be held in Denver. Alex will be at the Summit, and attendees will have the chance to tour the project and see what a conversion looks like up close (including what changes once you stop calling them “rooms” and start calling them “units”). Alex shares the full playbook: what types of hotels make sense, typical basis per “door,” what drives renovation costs (spoiler: electrical), how long zoning and entitlement really takes, how these deals get financed (including CPACE), what the refinance timeline looks like, and the biggest risks LPs should underwrite before wiring a dollar. Key Takeaways Why hotel-to-multifamily is a financial arbitrage as much as a physical conversion (hotel cap rates vs. multifamily cap rates) What makes office-to-multifamily so hard, and why hotels are often a better conversion candidate Typical acquisition basis and capex ranges (and why “adding kitchens” is the expensive part) The real timeline: 120–180 day DD/entitlement windows, construction sequencing, and refi timing (often 18–30 months) Downside risk and mitigation: managing cashflow during construction, experienced construction teams, and conservative terminal cap rates Disclaimer The content of this podcast is for informational purposes only. All host and participant opinions are their own. Investment in any asset, real estate included, involves risk, so use your best judgment and consult with qualified advisors before investing. You should only risk capital you can afford to lose. Past performance is not indicative of future results. This podcast may contain paid advertisements or other promotional materials for real estate investment advisers, investment funds, and investment opportunities, which should not be interpreted as a recommendation, endorsement, or testimonial by PassivePockets, LLC or any of its affiliates. Viewers must conduct their own due diligence and consider their own financial situations before engaging with any advertised offerings, products, or services. PassivePockets, LLC disclaims all liability for direct, indirect, consequential, or other damages arising out of reliance on information and advertisements presented in this podcast.
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    42 分
  • Boots-on-the-Ground Due Diligence with Adam Cranmer

    Boots-on-the-Ground Due Diligence with Adam Cranmer
    2026/03/17
    Track Record Assets Deal Page: https://passivepockets.com/directory/deals/morgan-bay-apartments/ A few weeks after an LP Deal Review with Track Record Assets, PassivePockets member Adam Cranmer realized he’d be in Houston, just minutes from the actual property. So he did what most LPs wish they could do: boots-on-the-ground due diligence, in-person operator time, and a full “does this actually feel real?” check. Adam walks through the deal at a high level (268-unit Class C value-add in north Houston acquired from a distressed seller, not a distressed property), then shares what he saw on-site and what he learned over lunch with the team—especially the operator’s “secret sauce” for stabilizing workforce housing. Most importantly, Adam breaks down the one major concern that still gave him pause (exit assumptions / value growth) and why, after ~20 hours of diligence, he ultimately decided to invest anyway—jockey-first, with a clear-eyed view of the risks and the fallback plan. Key Takeaways What “value-add” actually looks like on-site (and why this one felt real vs. cosmetic) How Adam pressure-tested rent comps and the plan after touring the area The operator edge: creating a tenant “flywheel” that improves safety, collections, and retention The biggest risk flag: exit price assumptions and how the debt structure reduces downside Why Adam invested anyway, even with diversification concerns in Houston Disclaimer The content of this podcast is for informational purposes only. All host and participant opinions are their own. Investment in any asset, real estate included, involves risk, so use your best judgment and consult with qualified advisors before investing. You should only risk capital you can afford to lose. Past performance is not indicative of future results. This podcast may contain paid advertisements or other promotional materials for real estate investment advisers, investment funds, and investment opportunities, which should not be interpreted as a recommendation, endorsement, or testimonial by PassivePockets, LLC or any of its affiliates. Viewers must conduct their own due diligence and consider their own financial situations before engaging with any advertised offerings, products, or services. PassivePockets, LLC disclaims all liability for direct, indirect, consequential, or other damages arising out of reliance on information and advertisements presented in this podcast.
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    31 分
  • Scott Trench's 2026 Office Thesis with J Scott & Ash Patel

    Scott Trench's 2026 Office Thesis with J Scott & Ash Patel
    2026/03/10
    Scott Trench brings a contrarian 2026 office thesis to the table, starting with the idea first, then stress-testing it with three expert investors: Ash Patel, J Scott, and host Chris Lopez. The group debates where office is truly mispriced, what “trophy” means post-COVID, and why “downtown vs. suburbs” might be the wrong framing without understanding tenant demand, floor plates, and lease-up realities. They dig into the mechanics of making office work (cash-flowing vs. vacant assets, tenant improvements, buildouts, leasing risk, and financing constraints), plus the biggest wild cards shaping demand going forward, from work-from-home to AI to local policy and migration trends. Ash also shares a real-world case study on buying fragmented suburban office at a deep discount and selling it off in smaller pieces. By the end, Scott refines his thesis from a binary bet into a spectrum: office may be a compelling buy if you’re surgical on asset selection, capitalization, and operator expertise and realistic about how long the grind to stabilization can take. Key Takeaways Downtown vs. suburban office: why pricing, tenant demand, and commute behavior can lead to very different risk profiles What actually wins in office now: smaller suites, turnkey space, parking, “soul”/amenities, and flexible layouts vs. big single-tenant floorplates Capital stack reality: why office financing is still tough, and why many plays require low leverage (or all-cash) plus significant TI reserves Operator selection: how to vet office sponsors when COVID disrupted track records—and why experience managing office matters more than ever One actionable strategy: buying multi-building suburban office portfolios at a discount and selling off smaller buildings to owner-users (with SBA tailwinds) Disclaimer The content of this podcast is for informational purposes only. All host and participant opinions are their own. Investment in any asset, real estate included, involves risk. Nothing here is investment, tax, legal, or financial advice; consult qualified professionals. Past performance is not indicative of future results. This podcast may include paid advertisements or promotional materials and should not be interpreted as a recommendation or endorsement by PassivePockets, LLC or affiliates. Conduct your own due diligence and consider your financial situation before engaging with any offering discussed. PassivePockets, LLC disclaims all liability for any actions taken based on the information presented.
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    57 分
  • LP Deal Review: Origin Investments Select Asset Fund | Michael Episcope

    LP Deal Review: Origin Investments Select Asset Fund | Michael Episcope
    2026/03/03
    In this LP Deal Review, Chris Lopez and LP panelist Christy Burakovsky sit down with Michael Episcope, Co-CEO of Origin Investments, for a deep dive into Origin’s Select Asset Fund—an intentionally small, vintage-based multifamily development fund built to deploy in 2026. Michael walks through the macro thesis (supply peaking, concessions stabilizing, and starts slowing), the fund’s structure (targeting five shovel-ready ground-up deals, four-year duration, and an option to continue holding for long-term compounding), and the underwriting guardrails designed to protect downside in a still-volatile environment. The panel then presses into the details that matter most to LPs: entitlement risk, leverage and loan structure, how Origin avoids “rescue capital,” how the 2021 vintage fund is performing today, and how Origin’s co-invest program works—including potential pathways for group allocations and better terms. Key Takeaways Fund design: $100M, focused on 2026 ground-up multifamily development with a four-year duration and optional continuation for long-term hold Risk mitigation: shovel-ready entitlements, conservative leverage (~65% LTC), and a structure aimed at avoiding cross-collateralization and hidden fund-level risk Co-invest mechanics: $500K+ fund minimum with 1:1 co-invest eligibility (no fee/no carry), and discussion of potential pooled/group pathways Vintage reality check: how Origin’s 2021 development fund is performing today (single digits) and what that implies about underwriting discipline in tough vintages Sourcing + operations: Origin’s multi-office footprint, repeat development partners, and a highly active asset management playbook to drive performance post-delivery Disclaimer The content of this podcast is for informational purposes only. All host and participant opinions are their own. Investment in any asset, real estate included, involves risk. Nothing here is investment, tax, legal, or financial advice; consult qualified professionals. Past performance is not indicative of future results. This podcast may include paid advertisements or promotional materials and should not be interpreted as a recommendation or endorsement by PassivePockets, LLC or affiliates. Conduct your own due diligence and consider your financial situation before engaging with any offering discussed. PassivePockets, LLC disclaims all liability for any actions taken based on the information presented.
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    47 分
  • Market’s “Rolling Recession”: 18-Year Cycle 2026 Update | Logan Freeman

    Market’s “Rolling Recession”: 18-Year Cycle 2026 Update | Logan Freeman
    2026/02/24
    Logan Freeman is back for his 2026 update on the 18.6-year real estate cycle: breaking down where he believes we are right now (still in the “Winner’s Curse,” but with a messy, sector-by-sector twist) and what signals he’s watching to spot a true shift into contraction. We dig into the big contradictions investors are feeling: transaction volumes and pricing stabilization on one hand, and real pain in certain sectors (office distress, Sunbelt multifamily oversupply, looming debt maturities) on the other. Logan’s take: we’re in a “rolling recession by sector,” where top-quartile assets and defensive niches can behave like late expansion while over-levered commodity assets behave like early contraction. Finally, Logan shares how he’s positioning his own capital, why he’s focused on small-bay industrial with yard space, industrial outdoor storage economics, and the land/power/infrastructure race behind data centers, plus his predictions for 2026 transaction volume, rates, and pricing heading into 2027. Key Takeaways The 18.6-year cycle refresher: recovery → expansion → Winner’s Curse → contraction, and why psychology + credit matter Why 2025–early 2026 looks “bifurcated”: office vs. medical office, Sunbelt multifamily vs. Midwest stability, and defensive sectors The debt maturity wave (2024–2027) as the forcing mechanism that can create both distress and opportunity What Logan watches now: 10-year Treasury trend, CMBS spread tightening, distress volume, office vacancy, and multifamily rent growth Where he’s investing: small-bay industrial + yard space, iOS tailwinds, and the land/power path to data center development Disclaimer The content of this podcast is for informational purposes only. All host and participant opinions are their own. Investment in any asset, real estate included, involves risk. Nothing here is investment, tax, legal, or financial advice; consult qualified professionals. Past performance is not indicative of future results. This podcast may include paid advertisements or promotional materials for sponsors, funds, or offerings and should not be interpreted as a recommendation or endorsement by PassivePockets, LLC or affiliates. Conduct your own due diligence and consider your financial situation before engaging with any advertised products or services. PassivePockets, LLC disclaims all liability for any actions taken based on the information presented.
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    37 分
  • The “Market Metronome” for Deal Stress Tests | Christine Kwasny

    The “Market Metronome” for Deal Stress Tests | Christine Kwasny
    2026/02/17
    Today’s show is part of our Community Spotlight Series, where we feature PassivePockets members who share hard-won lessons to help other LPs invest smarter. Christine Kwasny joins Chris Lopez to walk through a detailed retrospective on her syndication portfolio, what she thought she was buying, what actually happened, and what she’ll do differently going forward. Christine started investing actively in 2008, building a Portland-area rental portfolio (single-family renovations that eventually grew into fourplexes). After moving abroad in 2013, she shifted into syndications in 2019–2020 but like many investors, she later found that several 2021–2022 vintage deals didn’t play out the way pro formas suggested, which triggered a deep review of her entire process. In this conversation, Christine breaks down the biggest errors she sees investors make (including “set it and forget it”), how distributions can mask problems, how LPs can quietly fall down the capital stack, and how she used AI to analyze years of offering materials and quarterly reports across 30+ investments. She also shares her “Market Metronome” framework, a simple way to sanity-check underwriting assumptions against real historical ranges and market cycles. Key Takeaways “Passive is a tax and legal term, not a verb”: why syndications often require more scrutiny than owning your own rentals How distributions and quarterly reports can create false confidence—and what to look for in the core updates Capital stack drift: how mezz/preferred equity can change your risk even without a capital call Using AI to accelerate due diligence: summarizing OMs, tracking quarter-by-quarter changes, and stress-testing assumptions The “Market Metronome”: a practical way to pressure-test pro formas against historic highs/lows and cycle reality Disclaimer The content of this podcast is for informational purposes only. All host and participant opinions are their own. Investment in any asset, real estate included, involves risk. Nothing here is investment, tax, legal, or financial advice; consult qualified professionals. Past performance is not indicative of future results. This podcast may include paid advertisements or promotional materials for sponsors, funds, or offerings and should not be interpreted as a recommendation or endorsement by PassivePockets, LLC or affiliates. Conduct your own due diligence and consider your financial situation before engaging with any advertised products or services. PassivePockets, LLC disclaims all liability for any actions taken based on the information presented.
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    38 分