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Show Your Priors Podcast

Show Your Priors Podcast

著者: Show Your Priors Podcast
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Update your beliefs. Sharpen your edge. Welcome to Show Your Priors Podcast, a business and strategy podcast hosted by Michael Nichols and Jason Thompson. Bayesian Thinking: How to update your business strategy in real-time as the world changes. Discussing business strategy every Tuesday. #economictrends #marketanalysis #bayesian #venturecapital #businessstrategyShow Your Priors Podcast マネジメント マネジメント・リーダーシップ 経済学
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  • OpenAI's $21B Loss, the Anthropic Crackdown, and a Live AI Startup Teardown | Ep.16 Show Your Priors
    2026/06/23

    Pre-order Mike's Book, Fatal Abstraction

    https://a.co/d/045OQdAa


    Have a strategy, product, sales, or procurement team you need to make more productive? Schedule a Phaneros demo!

    beta.phaneros.ai


    Connect with Seun

    https://x.com/seun_the_great/

    https://www.linkedin.com/in/seunthegreat/


    Music by ThunderWof.

    https://www.instagram.com/apache_thunderwof_18/

    https://open.spotify.com/artist/4092jgp59goD4nZIL2mQw5


    This week on Show Your Priors, the business strategy podcast where co-hosts Michael Nichols and Jason Thompson take the week's biggest business and AI news and rip it apart to see what lies underneath. We break down OpenAI's reported $21 billion loss and 42-state probe, the government crackdown on Anthropic, SpaceX buying Cursor for $60 billion, and the messy ethics of prediction markets like Polymarket, before sitting down for a live startup teardown with Nigerian entrepreneur Seun Abilawon and his AI powered forex trading platform.


    From AI layoffs and AI washing in corporate America, to Huawei chip stacking versus US semiconductor sanctions, the Great American AI Act, AI hallucinations, Snap AR glasses, and the FERC fight over AI data centers and moral hazard, this episode is built for anyone who cares about business strategy, finance, marketing, corporate management, venture capital, and entrepreneurship. Michael also previews his new book, Fatal Abstraction, and we apply that framework to a real business model live on the show.


    Chapters

    00:00 Intro

    00:36 Fatal Abstraction: Mike's New Book

    07:44 Headlines: Anthropic vs. the US Government

    13:59 OpenAI's $21B Loss and 42-State Probe

    20:34 SpaceX Buys Cursor for $60B

    24:44 Polymarket and the Ethics of Prediction Markets

    33:11 The Firehose (powered by Phaneros)

    34:03 Lineage Cold Storage Fire and Supply Chain Risk

    40:26 Snap AR Glasses

    44:19 AI Layoffs Hit 40,000

    49:00 Huawei Chip Stacking vs. US Sanctions

    51:34 The Great American AI Act

    56:43 Who Does AI Remember Best?

    59:12 FERC, Data Centers, and Moral Hazard

    1:03:04 Chasing Zero AI Hallucinations

    1:07:02 Allbirds, Smart Bird, and the AI Backlash

    1:12:18 Digital ID and the UK Social Media Ban

    1:18:10 Interview: Seun Abilawon's AI Forex Startup

    2:06:01 Wrap Up


    Connect with us:Subscribe to Show Your Priors for weekly conversations on business, strategy, and the ideas shaping the world.

    Clips Channel | https://youtube.com/@sypclips

    Spotify | https://open.spotify.com/show/7qz3G3XoOaSPpg2elfKmH3

    Instagram | https://www.instagram.com/showyourpriors/

    Threads | https://www.threads.com/@showyourpriors

    TikTok | https://www.tiktok.com/@showyourpriors

    X - Michael Nichols | https://x.com/m_g_nichols

    X | https://x.com/showyourpriors

    Substack | https://showyourpriors.substack.com/

    Reddit | https://www.reddit.com/r/ShowYourPriorsPodcast

    LinkedIn - Michael Nichols | https://www.linkedin.com/in/michael-guy-nichols

    LinkedIn - Jason Thompson | https://www.linkedin.com/in/jason-thompson-607b0b54


    Keywords:business strategy podcast, artificial intelligence, AI news, business news, entrepreneurship, startup pitch, OpenAI, Anthropic, venture capital, forex trading, AI layoffs, business strategy, prediction markets, corporate strategy, business model, fintech, SpaceX, Polymarket, tech news, AI regulation, AI hallucinations, semiconductor sanctions, Huawei, financial markets, stock market, management, AI in business, trading strategy, moral hazard, AR glasses, Snap, AI safety, Nigeria startup, Africa entrepreneurship, Fatal Abstraction, Michael Nichols, Show Your Priors

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    2 時間 8 分
  • SpaceX's Record IPO, Anthropic's Banned AI, and Apple's Next Gen AI Siri | Ep. 15 Show Your Priors
    2026/06/16

    The most valuable IPO in history just happened, a frontier AI model got switched off by the US government within days of launch, and Apple quietly handed its flagship feature to a direct competitor. On Episode 15 of Show Your Priors, Michael Nichols and Jason Thompson rip apart the week's biggest business, strategy, and finance stories to find the playbook underneath.SpaceX IPO'd at a staggering 1.75 trillion dollar valuation, finished the day up 19 percent past 2.25 trillion, and pushed Elon Musk over 1.1 trillion in personal wealth. But do the fundamentals justify the price, or is the market simply betting on the man? We break down business models, projected cash flow, and why Morningstar's math lands at less than half the headline number.Then we get into Anthropic. The company launched its most powerful public model, Fable 5, on a Tuesday, and the government ordered it shut off by Friday under an export control directive citing national security. Is this a regulatory nightmare or the best free advertising in tech? We cover the Streisand effect, the rule of law, and what erratic AI policy means for the global race with China.Finally, Apple's WWDC 2026. The headline wasn't a product, it was a partnership: a rebuilt Siri running on Google's Gemini in a deal reportedly worth a billion dollars a year. We unpack the classic make versus buy decision, Apple's brand and channel moat, data privacy, and whether this is an admission that the competition simply does AI better.Plus a packed Headlines and Firehose: North Korean operatives behind 47 percent of state-sponsored tech hacks, Rita McGrath's new HBR piece on strategic centering, the private credit liquidity squeeze at BlackRock and Blackstone, Amazon's 31.5 billion dollar debt raise for AI data centers, the Harley-Davidson versus Indian motorcycle culture-war feud, Jeff Bezos' Prometheus, Goldman Sachs on compute as a commodity, and more.Music by Thunderwof. https://www.instagram.com/apache_thunderwof_18/https://open.spotify.com/artist/4092jgp59goD4nZIL2mQw5Chapters00:00 Intro00:39 Headlines: North Korea Hacks and CrowdStrike04:19 Headlines: Rita McGrath on Strategic Centering11:48 Headlines: BlackRock and the Private Credit Squeeze17:10 Headlines: Amazon's $31.5B Debt and AI CapEx23:18 Headlines: Harley vs Indian Motorcycle Feud28:47 Firehose50:31 SpaceX IPO1:04:05 Anthropic Fable 51:11:29 Apple WWDC 2026Connect with us:Subscribe to Show Your Priors for weekly conversations on business, strategy, and the ideas shaping the world.Clips Channel | https://youtube.com/@sypclips Spotify | https://open.spotify.com/show/7qz3G3XoOaSPpg2elfKmH3Instagram | https://www.instagram.com/showyourpriors/Threads | https://www.threads.com/@showyourpriorsTikTok | https://www.tiktok.com/@showyourpriorsX - Michael Nichols | https://x.com/m_g_nicholsX | https://x.com/showyourpriorsSubstack | https://showyourpriors.substack.com/Reddit | https://www.reddit.com/r/ShowYourPriorsPodcastLinkedIn - Michael Nichols | https://www.linkedin.com/in/michael-guy-nicholsLinkedIn - Jason Thompson | https://www.linkedin.com/in/jason-thompson-607b0b54Show Your Priors is a business strategy podcast. We look at the week's news stories and rip them apart to see what strategies lie underneath. New episode every Tuesday. Like, subscribe, and leave a comment.Keywords:SpaceX IPO, Elon Musk, Apple WWDC 2026, Anthropic, Siri Gemini, Google Gemini, AI news, business strategy, AI bubble, stock market, tech news, AI regulation, private credit, business podcast, SpaceX valuation, Fable 5, AI data centers, compute costs, AI export controls, BlackRock, Amazon debt, corporate strategy, venture capital, trillion dollar company, Nasdaq IPO, Harley Davidson, Rita McGrath, AI commoditization, Dario Amodei, finance podcast, strategy podcast, North Korea hackers, Goldman Sachs, Show Your Priors

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    1 時間 22 分
  • Anne T. Griffin: Sycophant CEOs, the SaaSpocalypse & AI Slop | Ep.14 Show Your Priors Podcast
    2026/06/09

    Connect with Annehttps://griffinproduct.co/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/annetgriffin/ https://x.com/annetgriffin Music by @thunderwofbaybe https://www.instagram.com/apache_thunderwof_18/https://open.spotify.com/artist/4092jgp59goD4nZIL2mQw5Is AI about to wipe out SaaS, or is that the most overhyped fear in business right now? In Episode 14 of Show Your Priors, the business strategy podcast that takes the week's biggest stories and rips them apart, hosts Michael Nichols and Jason Thompson sit down with AI product strategy expert Anne T. Griffin, founder of Griffin Product and Growth. Anne breaks down how to build an AI product strategy that actually connects to your company strategy, how to tell AI slop from a real AI product, why the so called SaaSpocalypse is overblown, and why differentiation still beats copying your competitors feature for feature.Before the interview, we rip through the headlines and the firehose: Microsoft Build 2026 and the AI arms race against Anthropic and OpenAI, Florida becoming the first state to sue OpenAI and Sam Altman, American humanoid war robots in Ukraine, GoPro's going concern warning and the chip crunch, and the Harvard Business Review AI adoption study with its warning about think slop. We also cover the SpaceX IPO and Morningstar's valuation warning, Anthropic's confidential S-1, Uber burning through its entire AI budget, Alphabet's record 80 billion dollar raise, Victoria's Secret's brand identity comeback, the Stanford Law study where AI beat the professors, and US and China talks on AI guardrails.In the conversation with Anne, we dig into AI sycophancy in the C-suite, AI hallucinations and why you have to stay vigilant about your sources, AI washing, how small businesses actually use AI, why Gen Z seems anti AI (and may secretly be the most AI fluent generation), and her best advice for AI startup founders. If you care about business strategy, product management, marketing, corporate strategy, or where enterprise AI is really headed, this episode is for you.Subscribe for a new episode every week, and use the chapters below to jump around. If you enjoy the show, tell a friend and leave a comment with what you want us to cover next.Chapters00:00 Intro00:32 Headlines: Microsoft Build 2026 and the AI Arms Race07:24 Florida Sues OpenAI and Sam Altman13:10 American Humanoid War Robots in Ukraine18:47 GoPro's Going Concern and the Chip Crunch23:01 Harvard Business Review: AI Adoption and Think Slop33:38 Firehose: SpaceX, Anthropic, Uber, and Alphabet's 80 Billion Dollar Raise42:25 Victoria's Secret's Brand Identity Comeback46:02 Broken AI Economics and the SaaS Reshuffle51:10 Stanford Law, Mathematicians, and US-China AI Guardrails1:02:08 Interview: Meet Anne T. Griffin and Building an AI Roadmap1:10:40 Spotting AI Slop vs. a Real AI Product1:17:31 Will LLMs Go Vertical? The SaaSpocalypse1:24:46 AI Sycophancy in the C-Suite and Hallucinations1:39:28 How Small Businesses Actually Use AI1:43:16 Why Gen Z Seems Anti-AI1:48:51 Advice for AI Startup Founders and Wrap-UpConnect with us:Subscribe to Show Your Priors for weekly conversations on business, strategy, and the ideas shaping the world.Clips Channel | https://youtube.com/@sypclips Spotify | https://open.spotify.com/show/7qz3G3XoOaSPpg2elfKmH3Instagram | https://www.instagram.com/showyourpriors/Threads | https://www.threads.com/@showyourpriorsTikTok | https://www.tiktok.com/@showyourpriorsX - Michael Nichols | https://x.com/m_g_nicholsX | https://x.com/showyourpriorsSubstack | https://showyourpriors.substack.com/Reddit | https://www.reddit.com/r/ShowYourPriorsPodcastLinkedIn - Michael Nichols | https://www.linkedin.com/in/michael-guy-nicholsLinkedIn - Jason Thompson | https://www.linkedin.com/in/jason-thompson-607b0b54

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    1 時間 58 分
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