エピソード

  • Why Consumer Sentiment Is Detached from the Jobs Market

    Why Consumer Sentiment Is Detached from the Jobs Market
    2026/06/08
    The job market on paper looks solid — unemployment at 4.3 percent, payrolls up, job openings surging to 7.6 million. Yet a New York Fed survey this week shows household financial worry at the highest since July 2022. Lucas and Luna unpack the disconnect between macro labor data and the stress consumers actually feel. They drill into the gap between headline employment numbers and the rising cost burdens — energy, rent, insurance — that aren't captured in the jobs report. The episode uses the recent jump in initial jobless claims to 225,000 and the flat unemployment rate to argue that the labor market is solid but brittle. Lucas explains why the Fed sees wage growth as the real signal, not job counts. Luna pushes back on whether the official data is capturing gig workers and multiple-job holders. A focused look at why the economy feels worse than the stats suggest. #ConsumerSentiment #NewYorkFedSurvey #JobsMarket #WageGrowth #UnemploymentRate #InitialJoblessClaims #JOLTS #NonfarmPayrolls #LaborEconomics #Inflation #HouseholdFinances #FederalReserve #EconomicData #WorryIndex #CostOfLiving #Economics #FexingoBusiness #BusinessPodcast Keep every episode free: buymeacoffee.com/fexingo
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    8 分
  • Why Workers Over 50 Are Being Pushed Out of the Labor Market

    Why Workers Over 50 Are Being Pushed Out of the Labor Market
    2026/06/08
    The May jobs report is due Friday, but a quieter crisis is already visible: long-term unemployment is surging, and it's hitting older workers hardest. Lucas and Luna dig into the latest data—unemployment at 4.3%, job openings at 7.6 million, and a growing mismatch that's leaving experienced professionals out in the cold. They explore why companies are reluctant to hire workers over 50, the hidden costs of age discrimination, and how the Iran conflict is making it worse by driving up energy costs and shrinking margins. Plus, a look at what this means for the Fed's approach to wage growth. If you've ever wondered why the labor market feels so divided, this episode explains one of the most underreported splits. #OlderWorkers #AgeDiscrimination #LongTermUnemployment #LaborMarket #JobsReport #WageGrowth #MayJobs #UnemploymentRate #JOLTS #JobOpenings #Fed #Economics #FexingoBusiness #BusinessPodcast #LaborMarketPodcast #WorkersOver50 #EmploymentGap #AgeBias Keep every episode free: buymeacoffee.com/fexingo
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    6 分
  • Why the Fed Is Watching Wage Growth Not Jobs

    Why the Fed Is Watching Wage Growth Not Jobs
    2026/06/07
    With the May jobs report due Friday and unemployment claims rising to 225,000, Lucas and Luna dig into why the Federal Reserve is paying more attention to the Employment Cost Index than to headline payroll numbers. They break down how wage growth in the ECI hit 177.5 in Q1 2026, up from 176.23, and why that matters more for interest rates than the 159 million jobs number. Plus, they connect the tight labor market to the recent ADP report showing 122,000 private payrolls added in May—stronger than expected—and what that means for the inflation fight. A focused look at the data point that could determine the next rate move. #LaborMarket #WageGrowth #EmploymentCostIndex #FederalReserve #ECI #JobsReport #Inflation #InterestRates #ADP #JOLTS #UnemploymentClaims #Payrolls #MayJobs #Economics #FexingoBusiness #BusinessPodcast #Podcast #LucasAndLuna Keep every episode free: buymeacoffee.com/fexingo
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    7 分
  • Why ADP and JOLTS Are Telling Different Stories

    Why ADP and JOLTS Are Telling Different Stories
    2026/06/07
    In this episode of The Labor Market Podcast, Lucas and Luna unpack the growing divergence between two closely watched labor market indicators: the ADP private payrolls report and the JOLTS job openings survey. With ADP showing 122,000 jobs added in May—stronger than expected—and JOLTS reporting 7.6 million openings in April, the hosts explore why these numbers seem to be telling different stories about the health of the job market. They dig into the methodology behind each report, the role of small vs. large employers, and what the data means for wage growth and the Federal Reserve's next moves. Lucas also touches on the latest initial jobless claims spike to 225,000 and how that fits into the picture. Tune in for a clear, data-driven breakdown of what these conflicting signals really say about the economy. #ADP #JOLTS #JobOpenings #NonfarmPayrolls #UnemploymentClaims #WageGrowth #FederalReserve #LaborMarket #EmploymentReport #SmallBusiness #LargeEmployers #Economics #EconomicIndicators #FexingoBusiness #BusinessPodcast #MayJobsReport #DataDivergence #JobMarket Keep every episode free: buymeacoffee.com/fexingo
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    9 分
  • Why Wages Are Growing for Stayers Not Switchers

    Why Wages Are Growing for Stayers Not Switchers
    2026/06/06
    New data shows that workers who stay put are now seeing faster wage growth than job-hoppers — a reversal of the pattern that dominated the post-pandemic labor market. Lucas and Luna break down the numbers from the May 2026 jobs report and the Employment Cost Index, explore why employers are raising pay to retain talent rather than attract it, and discuss what this means for your next career move. With the unemployment rate flat at 4.3% and job openings surging to 7.6 million, the labor market is sending mixed signals. Lucas points to a key metric: the quits rate has fallen below pre-pandemic levels, suggesting workers are prioritizing stability over the risk of a jump. Luna flags a hidden wrinkle: wage growth for job switchers is still positive but has slowed sharply, while annual raises for stayers have crept above 5% for the first time in two years. The episode closes with a look at which industries are leading the shift and whether this trend is likely to hold. #WageGrowth #JobStayers #JobSwitchers #LaborMarket #EmploymentCostIndex #MayJobsReport #UnemploymentRate #JOLTS #QuitsRate #Retention #EconomicData #CareerStrategy #Podcast #FexingoBusiness #BusinessPodcast #Economics #LaborEconomics #WorkerTrends Keep every episode free: buymeacoffee.com/fexingo
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    8 分
  • Why Wage Growth Is Splitting the Labor Market in Two

    Why Wage Growth Is Splitting the Labor Market in Two
    2026/06/06
    The May jobs report is out Friday, but beneath the headline numbers, a quieter divide is opening up. Wages are growing at 4.2 percent for job switchers but barely 3.5 percent for those who stay put. Lucas and Luna dig into the data from the Atlanta Fed's Wage Growth Tracker, the latest JOLTS numbers, and why this gap tells us more about the labor market than the unemployment rate. They explore how the split is reshaping career strategy, hiring, and even inflation expectations. #WageGrowth #LaborMarket #JobSwitchers #JobStayers #AtlantaFed #WageGrowthTracker #JOLTS #JobOpenings #NonfarmPayrolls #Unemployment #QuitsRate #Compensation #Economics #Business #FexingoBusiness #BusinessPodcast #LaborMarketPodcast #Fexingo Keep every episode free: buymeacoffee.com/fexingo
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    7 分
  • Why the Labor Market Is Splitting in Half

    Why the Labor Market Is Splitting in Half
    2026/06/05
    The May jobs report is out Friday, but the real story isn't the headline number — it's the growing gap between the booming high-end services sector and the struggling lower-wage industries. Lucas and Luna dig into the data behind the divergence: why job openings hit 7.6 million in April while long-term unemployment keeps rising, and what that means for workers in retail, hospitality, and manufacturing. They look at how energy costs from the Iran conflict are widening the split, and why the Federal Reserve can't fix this with interest rates alone. A focused, data-driven conversation about a labor market that's no longer one economy. #LaborMarket #JobsReport #Unemployment #WageGrowth #EconomicDivergence #JOLTS #MayJobsReport #LongTermUnemployment #EnergyCosts #IranConflict #FederalReserve #HighEndServices #LowerWageWorkers #Retail #Hospitality #Manufacturing #FexingoBusiness #BusinessPodcast Keep every episode free: buymeacoffee.com/fexingo
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    7 分
  • Why Long-Term Unemployment Is Surging in 2026

    Why Long-Term Unemployment Is Surging in 2026
    2026/06/05
    Lucas and Luna dig into the latest data on long-term unemployment. Despite a strong headline jobs number—nonfarm payrolls at 158.7 million in April—the share of workers unemployed for 27 weeks or more is climbing. They discuss what's driving this trend, the hidden costs for workers and the economy, and why it matters even as job openings hit 7.6 million. The hosts also explore how the Iran conflict and energy costs are prolonging joblessness for some workers. A data-driven look at a quiet but serious shift in the labor market. #LongTermUnemployment #LaborMarket #JobsReport #Unemployment #JOLTS #NonfarmPayrolls #IranWar #EnergyCosts #Economics #FexingoBusiness #BusinessPodcast #Jobs #WageGrowth #ADP #InitialClaims #EmploymentCostIndex #StayAtHomeWorkers #GigEconomy Keep every episode free: buymeacoffee.com/fexingo
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    6 分