Trade School vs. College in the AI Era: The 2026 Math Every Parent Needs to See
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The college decision in 2026 is not the same as it was in 2006. With AI compressing entry-level white-collar jobs and 25% of bachelor's degree programs delivering a negative ROI, families need a new analytical framework — not social inertia.
In this bonus episode of Surviving AI, Carlo Thompson runs the full math on the college vs. trades vs. apprenticeship decision in the AI economy.
**What you'll learn:**
- Why workers aged 22–25 in AI-exposed roles have already seen a 16% employment drop — and what that means for new graduates
- The 25% of degree programs with negative ROI — and how to know if you're about to enroll in one
- The trades and apprenticeship math nobody shares: $80K starting salary, 90% employment, $3K–$15K cost
- The "sheltering in higher education" trap — why grad school as AI anxiety relief is usually the wrong call
- The 5-question decision framework for making this call analytically
📊 **Key data this episode:**
- 25% of bachelor's degree programs: negative ROI (Fed Reserve Bank of NY)
- 51% of Gen Z regret going to college
- Workers with AI skills earn 56% more than peers in identical roles
- Apprenticeship completers: ~$80K year one, 90%+ employed
- Trade vs. college net position by age 22: $80K–$150K ahead for the trade path
🎙️ Surviving AI Bonus Episode | Companion to Episode 21: The Family Strategy
📌 **SUBSCRIBE:** Apple Podcasts | YouTube | Spotify