I sat down with Paul Kedrosky - investor, researcher and one of the smartest voices out there on the economics of AI and the risks of a bubble.
Here are a few of the questions we talked about:
- What is a bubble?
- Is AI a bubble?
- How does it compare to past bubbles?
- What would cause the bubble to burst?
- Why should the average person care?
- Will we see a bull market in laser tag in all the abandoned data centres?
- What needs to be true for AI to NOT be a bubble?
More info about Paul
Paul Kedrosky is an investor, writer, and researcher. He has been a regular on-air contributor at CNBC and Bloomberg, and has written for the New York Times, the Wall Street Journal, and publications around the world.
Paul started as an engineer, became a quota-carrying salesperson, then a technology equity analyst on Wall Street, and eventually a venture capitalist. He has started companies, held academic positions in the U.S. and Canada, has a popular newsletter, and is a research fellow at MIT's Institute for the Digital Economy. His Ph.D. research focused on risk, adoption, and path dependence in finance and technology.
Where else you can listen
Youtube - https://www.youtube.com/@HumansintheLoopPod
Apple podcasts - https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/humans-in-the-loop/id1831285114
Spotify - https://open.spotify.com/show/4BbslJR0KA5bfqrcYRhJER?si=b5a46211098b4f3e
Or wherever you get your podcasts!
Chapters
00:00 The AI Bubble Debate
06:44 Understanding Bubbles and Their Characteristics
12:04 Historical Context: Railroads and AI
17:51 The Call Option on AI's Future
19:29 The Necessity of Bubbles for Progress
25:31 Consequences of Stranded Assets
26:51 The Dilemma of Data Centers
28:46 The AI Bubble Dynamics
31:20 The Impact of Economic Bubbles on Society
34:06 The Interconnectedness of Global Financial Systems
36:17 Public Sentiment Towards AI and Job Security
38:18 The Fallacy of Technological Inevitability
40:20 Regulatory Challenges in a Globalized Economy
42:50 Predicting the Burst of the AI Bubble
45:37 Market Sentiment and AI Valuations
49:21 The Token Economy and Its Implications
52:28 Possibilities of Change in the Current Landscape
54:57 The Future of Work and Economic Stability
Links
https://paulkedrosky.com/
Get in touch
Instagram - https://www.instagram.com/humansinthelooppod/
Email: seb@theuncommonfounder.com
Website: https://www.theuncommonfounder.com