『Stagflation Conversations with Fexingo: High Inflation, Slow Growth, and 1970s Echoes』のカバーアート

Stagflation Conversations with Fexingo: High Inflation, Slow Growth, and 1970s Echoes

Stagflation Conversations with Fexingo: High Inflation, Slow Growth, and 1970s Echoes

著者： Fexingo
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In 'Stagflation Conversations with Fexingo,' Lucas and Luna examine the return of an economic condition many thought buried with the 1970s: high inflation paired with stagnant growth. Each episode grounds the conversation in current data from major economies—CPI prints, GDP revisions, unemployment figures, and central bank statements—then draws historical parallels to the oil shocks, wage-price spirals, and policy missteps of the post-Bretton Woods era. Lucas, with a fountain pen in hand, traces the arc of a Minsky moment or a Volcker-style rate hike; Luna cross-references today's supply chain disruptions and labor market tightness against the archived charts spread before them. They never settle for surface-level parallel—instead, they argue about whether modern financialization changes the stagflation playbook, why the Phillips curve seems to have gone flat, and what a 'soft landing' actually requires. The listener who tunes in is someone who reads the economic indicators themselves, who knows that the misery index is not a rhetorical device, and who wants a conversation that respects the complexity of the data rather than reducing it to a single headline. By the end of each episode, you'll have a clearer map of the trade-offs policymakers face—and a sharper sense of which historical analogies are useful and which are lazy. #Stagflation #Inflation #EconomicGrowth #FederalReserve #MonetaryPolicy #1970sEconomy #PhillipsCurve #MiseryIndex #SupplyChain #LaborMarket #CentralBanks #GDP #ConsumerPriceIndex #EconomicHistory #Macroeconomics #Business #FexingoBusiness #Economics Keep every episode free: buymeacoffee.com/fexingo© 2026 Fexingo. All rights reserved. 経済学
エピソード
  • Why Stagflation Is Creating a Two-Tier Job Market

    Why Stagflation Is Creating a Two-Tier Job Market
    2026/06/08
    Episode 38 of Stagflation Conversations with Fexingo digs into a striking trend: while the headline unemployment rate sits at 4.3% and payrolls keep growing, the long-term unemployed — those out of work for 27 weeks or more — are stacking up faster than in any recovery since the 1980s. Lucas and Luna connect the dots between the latest JOLTS data showing 7.6 million openings and the harder reality for workers who've been job hunting for months. They explore why employers in a stagflation environment favor the newly unemployed over those with gaps, and how this two-tier dynamic mirrors the late 1970s. The conversation lands on the hidden structural cost: skills erosion, diminished bargaining power, and a workforce that's less responsive to the next upturn. Anchored to the June 2026 economic picture, this episode offers a specific, data-driven look at a labor market divide that rarely makes the front page. #Stagflation #Economics #LaborMarket #LongTermUnemployment #JOLTS #JobOpenings #UnemploymentRate #HiringBias #SkillsErosion #TwoTierLaborMarket #1970sParallels #HiddenUnemployment #WorkforceTrends #FexingoBusiness #BusinessPodcast #EconomicDivide #StructuralUnemployment #June2026 Keep every episode free: buymeacoffee.com/fexingo
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    9 分
  • Long-Term Unemployment's Hidden Cost in Stagflation

    Long-Term Unemployment's Hidden Cost in Stagflation
    2026/06/07
    In this episode of Stagflation Conversations, Lucas and Luna examine the surge in long-term unemployment, which recent data shows is climbing even as the headline jobless rate holds at 4.3 percent. They break down why workers unemployed for 27 weeks or more face a uniquely punishing dynamic in a slow-growth, high-inflation environment: skills erosion that accelerates faster than normal cycles, a shrinking pool of employers willing to hire gaps, and a deterioration in real earnings that outpaces short-term job seekers. The discussion anchors on the latest JOLTS data showing 7.6 million job openings alongside 225,000 initial claims, and how these numbers paint a deceptive picture of labor market health. Lucas drills into the government's role through extended unemployment benefits, the political pressure to tighten eligibility, and the perverse effect where benefits themselves can lock workers into poverty traps. Luna challenges whether current retraining programs are fit for purpose. This is a focused, data-rich look at the structural scar that stagflation leaves on the workforce. #LongTermUnemployment #Stagflation #LaborMarket #JOLTS #Unemployment #Economics #FexingoBusiness #BusinessPodcast #Inflation #SlowGrowth #SkillsErosion #ExtendedBenefits #JobOpenings #InitialClaims #StructuralUnemployment #Retraining #Policy #HiddenCosts Keep every episode free: buymeacoffee.com/fexingo
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    7 分
  • How Stagflation Is Reshaping the US Labor Market's Hidden Divide

    How Stagflation Is Reshaping the US Labor Market's Hidden Divide
    2026/06/07
    In this episode, Lucas and Luna dig into a surprising divide in today's labor market: while the unemployment rate sits at 4.3%, long-term unemployment is surging and initial jobless claims just jumped to 225,000. Using fresh data from the May ADP report (122,000 private payrolls added, stronger than expected) and the latest JOLTS numbers (7.6 million openings, up from 6.9 million), they explore why some workers are thriving while others are stuck on the sidelines for months. Lucas argues that stagflation is creating a 'two-tier' workforce, where high inflation erodes real wages for the employed even as structural shifts—like the fading of pandemic-era service jobs—leave others permanently disconnected. Luna pushes back, asking whether the rise in long-term unemployment is really a demand problem or a skills mismatch. They reference the 1970s pattern where low growth and high prices coexisted with a 'jobless recovery' and discuss what today's data says about the Fed's next move. The conversation is grounded in the latest figures, including the April CPI at 332.4 and core PCE at 129.6, without veering into stale talking points. #Stagflation #LaborMarket #LongTermUnemployment #JoblessClaims #ADPPayrolls #JOLTS #USJobs #Inflation #Economy #FederalReserve #TwoTierLaborMarket #RealWages #SkillsMismatch #1970sEchoes #Economics #FexingoBusiness #BusinessPodcast #StagflationConversations Keep every episode free: buymeacoffee.com/fexingo
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    7 分
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