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  • Why Stagflation Is Creating a Two-Tier Job Market

    Why Stagflation Is Creating a Two-Tier Job Market
    2026/06/08
    Episode 38 of Stagflation Conversations with Fexingo digs into a striking trend: while the headline unemployment rate sits at 4.3% and payrolls keep growing, the long-term unemployed — those out of work for 27 weeks or more — are stacking up faster than in any recovery since the 1980s. Lucas and Luna connect the dots between the latest JOLTS data showing 7.6 million openings and the harder reality for workers who've been job hunting for months. They explore why employers in a stagflation environment favor the newly unemployed over those with gaps, and how this two-tier dynamic mirrors the late 1970s. The conversation lands on the hidden structural cost: skills erosion, diminished bargaining power, and a workforce that's less responsive to the next upturn. Anchored to the June 2026 economic picture, this episode offers a specific, data-driven look at a labor market divide that rarely makes the front page. #Stagflation #Economics #LaborMarket #LongTermUnemployment #JOLTS #JobOpenings #UnemploymentRate #HiringBias #SkillsErosion #TwoTierLaborMarket #1970sParallels #HiddenUnemployment #WorkforceTrends #FexingoBusiness #BusinessPodcast #EconomicDivide #StructuralUnemployment #June2026 Keep every episode free: buymeacoffee.com/fexingo
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    9 分
  • Long-Term Unemployment's Hidden Cost in Stagflation

    Long-Term Unemployment's Hidden Cost in Stagflation
    2026/06/07
    In this episode of Stagflation Conversations, Lucas and Luna examine the surge in long-term unemployment, which recent data shows is climbing even as the headline jobless rate holds at 4.3 percent. They break down why workers unemployed for 27 weeks or more face a uniquely punishing dynamic in a slow-growth, high-inflation environment: skills erosion that accelerates faster than normal cycles, a shrinking pool of employers willing to hire gaps, and a deterioration in real earnings that outpaces short-term job seekers. The discussion anchors on the latest JOLTS data showing 7.6 million job openings alongside 225,000 initial claims, and how these numbers paint a deceptive picture of labor market health. Lucas drills into the government's role through extended unemployment benefits, the political pressure to tighten eligibility, and the perverse effect where benefits themselves can lock workers into poverty traps. Luna challenges whether current retraining programs are fit for purpose. This is a focused, data-rich look at the structural scar that stagflation leaves on the workforce. #LongTermUnemployment #Stagflation #LaborMarket #JOLTS #Unemployment #Economics #FexingoBusiness #BusinessPodcast #Inflation #SlowGrowth #SkillsErosion #ExtendedBenefits #JobOpenings #InitialClaims #StructuralUnemployment #Retraining #Policy #HiddenCosts Keep every episode free: buymeacoffee.com/fexingo
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    7 分
  • How Stagflation Is Reshaping the US Labor Market's Hidden Divide

    How Stagflation Is Reshaping the US Labor Market's Hidden Divide
    2026/06/07
    In this episode, Lucas and Luna dig into a surprising divide in today's labor market: while the unemployment rate sits at 4.3%, long-term unemployment is surging and initial jobless claims just jumped to 225,000. Using fresh data from the May ADP report (122,000 private payrolls added, stronger than expected) and the latest JOLTS numbers (7.6 million openings, up from 6.9 million), they explore why some workers are thriving while others are stuck on the sidelines for months. Lucas argues that stagflation is creating a 'two-tier' workforce, where high inflation erodes real wages for the employed even as structural shifts—like the fading of pandemic-era service jobs—leave others permanently disconnected. Luna pushes back, asking whether the rise in long-term unemployment is really a demand problem or a skills mismatch. They reference the 1970s pattern where low growth and high prices coexisted with a 'jobless recovery' and discuss what today's data says about the Fed's next move. The conversation is grounded in the latest figures, including the April CPI at 332.4 and core PCE at 129.6, without veering into stale talking points. #Stagflation #LaborMarket #LongTermUnemployment #JoblessClaims #ADPPayrolls #JOLTS #USJobs #Inflation #Economy #FederalReserve #TwoTierLaborMarket #RealWages #SkillsMismatch #1970sEchoes #Economics #FexingoBusiness #BusinessPodcast #StagflationConversations Keep every episode free: buymeacoffee.com/fexingo
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    7 分
  • Why Stagflation Is Reshaping Job Hopping Trends

    Why Stagflation Is Reshaping Job Hopping Trends
    2026/06/06
    In this episode of Stagflation Conversations with Fexingo, Lucas and Luna explore how the current high-inflation, slow-growth environment is quietly reshaping the way workers change jobs. With unemployment at 4.3 percent, job openings still elevated at 7.6 million, and real wage growth barely keeping pace with CPI, the traditional calculus of job hopping for a raise is breaking down. Lucas breaks down new data from the ADP payroll report showing that private payrolls grew by 122,000 in May, but the composition of that hiring is shifting toward lower-wage sectors and temp workers. Meanwhile, Luna points out that the share of voluntary quits has dropped to its lowest level since 2020, as workers cling to stability over a marginal pay bump. The hosts discuss how this trend is creating a sticky labor market with surprising consequences for productivity and wage inflation. They also examine whether the era of the 'Great Resignation' is officially over, and what that means for both employees and employers navigating stagflation. #Stagflation #JobHopping #LaborMarket #WageGrowth #ADPReport #QuitRate #EconomicTrends #Business #Economics #Inflation #Unemployment #JobOpenings #Workers #GreatResignation #Payrolls #Productivity #FexingoBusiness #BusinessPodcast Keep every episode free: buymeacoffee.com/fexingo
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    8 分
  • How Stagflation Is Reshaping the Two-Year College Boom

    How Stagflation Is Reshaping the Two-Year College Boom
    2026/06/06
    In this episode of Stagflation Conversations, Lucas and Luna examine the surprising surge in enrollment at community colleges amid persistent high inflation and slow growth. With real GDP growing at only 1.6% annually and the unemployment rate holding at 4.3%, more workers are returning to school for retraining, especially at two-year institutions. Lucas points to a 12% enrollment jump at community colleges nationally, driven by older students seeking skills in healthcare, IT, and trades. Luna notes the flip side: rising tuition and textbook costs are squeezing budgets, even as federal Pell Grants haven't kept pace with inflation. The hosts explore whether this boom is a durable shift or a cyclical response, and what it means for the broader economy, from local labor markets to student debt trends. They also touch on how colleges are adapting with more online and evening programs to accommodate working adults. A focused look at one concrete effect of stagflation on education. #Stagflation #CommunityCollege #EnrollmentBoom #Economics #HigherEducation #WorkforceTraining #Inflation #SlowGrowth #PellGrants #StudentDebt #HealthcareTraining #ITSkills #Trades #LaborMarket #Retraining #FexingoBusiness #BusinessPodcast #EducationEconomics Keep every episode free: buymeacoffee.com/fexingo
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    10 分
  • How Stagflation Is Reshaping Long-Term Unemployment Costs

    How Stagflation Is Reshaping Long-Term Unemployment Costs
    2026/06/05
    Episode 33 digs into a quiet but growing burden in this stagflationary economy: long-term unemployment. With the unemployment rate stuck at 4.3 percent and JOLTS job openings rising to 7.6 million, the number of Americans out of work for more than six months is climbing. Lucas and Luna explore how this shifts costs onto state unemployment insurance systems, local social services, and workers' long-term earnings potential. They reference data from the May 2026 jobs report preview, the surge in initial jobless claims to 225,000, and the hidden costs of skill depreciation. The conversation also touches on how employers are using the tight labor market to cherry-pick shorter-term unemployed candidates, leaving the long-term jobless trapped in a cycle that echoes the 1970s stagflation playbook. #Stagflation #LongTermUnemployment #JoblessClaims #LaborMarket #HiddenCosts #Economics #FexingoBusiness #BusinessPodcast #UnemploymentInsurance #SkillsGap #JOLTS #MayJobsReport #ADPPayrolls #Workforce #Inflation #SlowGrowth #1970sEchoes #HiringBias Keep every episode free: buymeacoffee.com/fexingo
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    6 分
  • How Stagflation Is Reshaping Long-Term Unemployment Costs

    How Stagflation Is Reshaping Long-Term Unemployment Costs
    2026/06/05
    Episode 32 of Stagflation Conversations with Fexingo explores a hidden cost of today's slow-growth, high-inflation environment: the surge in long-term unemployment. With the unemployment rate at 4.3 percent but initial jobless claims rising to 225,000, Lucas and Luna drill into new data showing that workers out of work for 27 weeks or more are piling up. They examine how this structural shift affects everything from skill erosion to consumer spending patterns, and why the 1970s stagflation playbook doesn't quite fit. A must-listen for anyone trying to understand the real economy behind the headline numbers. #StagflationConversations #Economics #LongTermUnemployment #Stagflation #LaborMarket #JOLTS #JoblessClaims #StructuralUnemployment #FedPolicy #CPI #GDPGrowth #1970sEchoes #FexingoBusiness #BusinessPodcast #LucasAndLuna #Macro #Inflation #LaborForce Keep every episode free: buymeacoffee.com/fexingo
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    7 分
  • How Stagflation Is Reshaping Tuition Reimbursement Programs

    How Stagflation Is Reshaping Tuition Reimbursement Programs
    2026/06/04
    Lucas and Luna examine how stagnant wages and persistent inflation are forcing companies to rethink tuition reimbursement benefits. With the unemployment rate at 4.3 percent and job openings surging to 7.6 million, employers are using education perks to attract and retain talent. But as budgets tighten in a slow-growth environment, some firms are capping benefits or shifting to shorter-term credentials. The hosts explore the trade-offs for workers and companies, drawing on data from the latest JOLTS report and CPI figures showing core inflation above 3 percent. They also discuss the hidden costs of long-term unemployment and how education benefits might be a lifeline for displaced workers. #Stagflation #TuitionReimbursement #EmployeeBenefits #Inflation #SlowGrowth #LaborMarket #JOLTS #CPI #Unemployment #Retention #Upskilling #Credentials #HumanResources #Economics #FexingoBusiness #BusinessPodcast #StagflationConversations #EducationBenefits Keep every episode free: buymeacoffee.com/fexingo
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    10 分